So if in 5 years Bitcoin does not displace half of the sovereign currencies I pay you $10K. But if it does, you pay me 1 BTC. We need to formalise the measurement first, but what about the general outline?
Forget what I said above about not trusting an escrow :) With such lovely odds, I'll gladly take you on this bet. Contact John K from bitcointalk about doing the escrow and I'm in. We can even up the sum a bit :)
Did you ever get a response on this? I'd deposit a bitcoin into escrow if he deposits 10,000. Are the terms still 1/2 the sovereign currencies or are we going with your 100% rise in value? I think I'll stick with the 1/2 the sovereign currencies as all sorts of things can cause hyperinflation of commodities prices. Seems like a worthy bet.
Nope, he suddenly went silent after I agreed to the bet. But I'm sure he had some very important thing to do that's keeping him busy and not able to answer ;)
