What's accurate in this article? It's very vague, it can be tldred into "we won't go anywhere, although AI does more and more of our work"
> Radiologists do far more than study images. They advise other doctors and surgeons, talk to patients, write reports and analyze medical records. After identifying a suspect cluster of tissue in an organ, they interpret what it might mean for an individual patient with a particular medical history, tapping years of experience.
AI will do that more efficiently, and probably already does. "tapping years of experience" is just data in training set.
> A.I. can also automatically identify images showing the highest probability of an abnormal growth, essentially telling the radiologist, “Look here first.” Another program scans images for blood clots in the heart or lungs, even when the medical focus may be elsewhere.
> “A.I. is everywhere in our workflow now,” Dr. Baffour said.
> “Five years from now, it will be malpractice not to use A.I.,” he said. “But it will be humans and A.I. working together.”
Maybe you'll be able to happily retire because inertia, but overall it looks like elevator operator job.
>> Therefore, when I lose my job to AI, so does everyone else.
Not quite right? Some fields are licensed, regulated, and have appointments -- and others are not. AI is most keenly focused on fields w/o licensure barriers
On the one hand, you’re totally right. The job takes general intelligence.
On the other hand, a lot of jobs take general intelligence. You’re right about that too.
It’s difficult to guess the specifics of your life, but: maybe you’ve engaged a real estate agent. Some people use no real estate agent. Some have a robo agent. No AI involved. Maybe you have written a will. Some people go online and spend $500 on templates from Trust & Will, others spend $3,000 on a lawyer to fill in the templates for them, some don’t do any of that at all. Even in medicine, you know, a pharma rep has to go and convince someone to add their thing to the guidelines, and you can look back at the time between the study and adoption as, well people were intelligent and there was demand, but doctors were not doing so and so thing due to lack of essentially sales. I mean you don’t have to be generally intelligent to know that flossing is good for you, and yet: so few people floss! That would maybe not put tons of dentists out of business. But people are routinely doing (or not doing) professional services stuff not for any good (or bad) reason at all.
Clearly the thing going on in the professional services economy isn’t about general intelligence - there’s already lots of stuff that is NOT happening long before AI changes the game. It’s all cultural.
If you’ve gotten this far without knowing what I am talking about… listen, who knows what’s going to happen? Clearly a lot of behavior is not for any good reason.
How do you know where the ball is going to go for culture? Personally I think it’s a kind of arrogant position: “I’m a member of the guild, and from my POV, if my profession is replaced, so is everyone else’s.” Arrogance is not an attractive culture, it’s an adversarial one! And you could say inertia, and yet: look who’s running the HHS! There are kids right now, that I know in my real life, who look like you or me, who went to fancy Ivy League school, and they are vaccine skeptical. What about inertia and general intelligence then? So I’ll just say, you know, putting yourself out here on this forum, being all like, “I will AMA, I am the voice,” and then to be so arrogant: you are your own evidence for why maybe it won’t last 10 years.
I jumped into this thread to share my thoughts, and my thoughts alone, because I'm not sure there are a lot of radiologists on HN. I certainly don't speak for all radiologists.
But, I would submit to you, that rapid, radical changes to the practice of medicine are rare, if not impossible.
> Radiologists do far more than study images. They advise other doctors and surgeons, talk to patients, write reports and analyze medical records. After identifying a suspect cluster of tissue in an organ, they interpret what it might mean for an individual patient with a particular medical history, tapping years of experience.
AI will do that more efficiently, and probably already does. "tapping years of experience" is just data in training set.
> A.I. can also automatically identify images showing the highest probability of an abnormal growth, essentially telling the radiologist, “Look here first.” Another program scans images for blood clots in the heart or lungs, even when the medical focus may be elsewhere. > “A.I. is everywhere in our workflow now,” Dr. Baffour said. > “Five years from now, it will be malpractice not to use A.I.,” he said. “But it will be humans and A.I. working together.”
Maybe you'll be able to happily retire because inertia, but overall it looks like elevator operator job.
What's so special about radiology?