It probably won’t take ten years: fast charging batteries that can go over 300 miles with a five minute charge, at entry level prices, with lidar navigation instead of cheap optical cameras. Superior user interfaces, no corner-cutting by stuffing everything into touch screens.

I’m not saying you won’t be able to get this in North America eventually, but it’ll be licensed from Chinese companies the same way Tesla is doing with CATL LFP batteries right now.

Unfortunately, I think we'll need regulation for much of that.

As-is, super-fast charging hardly matters because you only really save money by charging at home where super-fast doesn't matter - for people who can't do most of their charging at home, the incentives for EVs (or disincentives for gas) mostly aren't strong enough for faster charging to tip the scales.

I don't know about the pricing situation - the average new car in North America costs $50k, so I don't know if the incentives are lined up right to sell entry level cars that are much better than today's entry-level cars.

For touch screens, we probably need safety regulation - it just doesn't seem like people care about everything being moved to touch screens enough to vote with their wallets.

The autonomous driving to me is a big unknown, timeline-wise. It's certainly the most obvious candidate for a real difference in car functionality.