I started believing that all these, are just side effects of Americans and their leadership not accepting the loss of their global leadership to China. They know they can’t pull a Plaza Accord like they did with Japan in the 80s to slow they down. Now hoping for some hail marys. In the worst case, a good chunk of people will be poorer, less women with jobs, which should result in a bump in birth rates.
I believe whichever party attempts to do this will be voted out in 2 years. It's really really hard to get people to accept a lower standard of living. The only scenario I can think of is during wartime, but the US is pissing off all of their allies.
Logical next move is to start the move. I’m just assuming that they will. I guess, the biggest problem is hoe vocal “the other side” is, compared to 10/20 years ago. Oh well, that’s what the citizens vited for, I guess.
No data points, but I like to entertain this.