The real issue is Canada's demographic decline. Immigrants were brought in to fill that gap and pay for pensions and other goodies that expect a growing base of tax paying productive workers. We're not getting rid of these people, they will become citizens if they choose to. Personally, I doubt that any announcement by the government will be anything but a temporary hold, to be returned to high levels post-Liberal election victory. All of these people have already been educated (to varying levels of quality) so on paper, they fill out the population pyramid.
The problem is the policy driving it is bad. Rather than high-skilled workers, we're letting in low-to-mid-skilled young people. On paper, this plugs the demographic hole. But a lack of planning on infrastructure (housing, etc.) means that prices of those assets has gone through the roof. This has created poor economic incentives to invest in labour intensive industries and housing rather than the innovative, productive part of the economy. What happens when you want to open a software company but can't find workers? Maybe you open a house painting company instead, if the money on offer is high enough.
We shouldn't blame the immigrant -- they are trying to improve their lives. But you definitely can blame poor policy.
> Immigrants were brought in to fill that gap and pay for pensions and other goodies that expect a growing base of tax paying productive workers.
This is not true.
1) Immigrants are not brought in with the goal of topping up the numbers to the existing level, immigrants are being brought in with the intent of tripling the population. See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Century_Initiative whose founders are advisors to the federal government.
2) Canada does not need immigrants to pay for its pensions. CPP and other pension in Canada are well run, invest their money, and don't just route money from young people to old. Rather, they pay the money out from the money already put in.
> and don't just route money from young people to old
Doesn't matter. Money represents goods and services. And the young people to provide care to the elderly at the currently expected levels don't exist. Things, even services, that don't exist can't be bought at any price.
People often forget that money is but a proxy for other things. On the small scale of an individual or a family anything can be bought. For a country, the illusion is broken and you have to do economics with actual people, actual land, ... because otherwise prices will rapidly "adapt" and make policy impossible.
Which is exactly the mistake 99% of all governments currently make.
> The problem is the policy driving it is bad. Rather than high-skilled workers, we're letting in low-to-mid-skilled young people.
The US has been running its immigration system this way for many decades. It's a disaster. With low to modest economic growth, lifting tens of millions of poor, low education, low skill, non-english speakers up out of poverty is almost impossible. You need persistently rapid economic expansion to do that. The US is getting a long-term under economic class of non-English speakers with low education levels: forever low income laborers. There are large special interests (business and political) in the US that like this and have kept our immigration system this way on purpose for decades despite the mess it has caused. Canada should avoid replicating this failed approach to immigration. The US also has a lot of sprawl space to live in, Canada for the most part does not (most of Canada isn't reasonably inhabitable obviously), so you just get ever more intense density problems in Canada with bulk immigration.
The other huge problem for Canada's immigration change, is that the low skill workers won't contribute enough in taxes net to make a difference in the fiscal demographic problems of the coming decades. The net tax contribution of a low skill worker is between zero and very low across their lifetime. Whereas with Canada's former policy of focusing on high skill immigration, you get a large tax surplus per person, which pays for expensive social programs.
Maybe I am misinformed, being in the US I always hear that Canadian points based immigration policy is way better than US and it encourages high skill immigration. Is that not true?
It was fine, but more importantly borderline sustainable, until post covid explosion in Indian student visas, more than system can realistically integrate in short time line involved. The point of skill based immigration is you drain the brightest (and richest) who can generally pay their way and be net contributor right away (tuition etc). When I was in Canadian uni around the 00s, around explosion of PRC international students, they mostly come from wealthy backcgrounds, bought a condo, studied and transitioned into skilled work. They generally didn't work part time while in school. Brought money into economy with stupid consumption. Still drove up RE market / rent, but not the to levels now in the last few years. The richest Indians with $$$ goes to the states due to their remarkably successful Indian disaphora network, Canada gets what's left over, which is still bright/hardworking minds, but they're poorer, and many have to work driving down wages in all segments. Which might be fine i nmoderation but with sheer numbers involved, in the time frame involved, is driving up cost to visibly levels in the few cities where immigrants settle.
To give context some cities in India hold a massive "send off" ceremonies for Indian students going to Canada and they rent a stadium to do so. The are not just sending by truckloads and boatloads but hudrends of flights full of indian students.
Immigrants arrive with a built-in support system that get them off the ground when they arrive, a safety net and most importantly, someone that they can trust. All in ideal circumstances anyway.
Corporate migration puts immigrants at huge risk of abuse and failure if things don’t go as expected.
A lot of immigration happens somewhere in the middle.
Canada’s points system isn’t that robust, but I guess less problematic than a straight up lottery.
One of the work permit paths is points-based -- "Express Entry". There are plenty of other ways, and there are programs like the Temporary Foreign Worker (contemptuously referred to as TFWs), who bring in lots of low skilled workers. Lots of Filipino coffee-slingers working at Tim Horton's (a fast food chain), for example.
Immigration also isn't the problem, the problem is the boomers buying up all of the housing, and large corporations (many of which are foreign) buying up the rest. This is combined with Canada's climate and geography -- aka most of the country is uninhabitable in any real sense -- which concentrates the population in a handful of markets where the prices are absurd.
As someone deeply involved in immigration advocacy in USA I can assure you that the Canadian points based system is terrible. It is the classic case of grass is greener on other side effect.
The points based system is eventually administered by a bunch of government servant and the "points" are subject to the internal politics of the government.
Consider the french and english language proficiency. It is established based on some exam. Now in countries like India there is a vast network of institutes which will help you to beat those tests without having actual proficiency in the language. But what if you fail ? Pretty simple. You find a smart spouse who can crack it for you and then pay her a large money to help you move to Canada and then file for divorce after couple of years.
Same goes for things like job offers in Canada. It can very easily be hacked. You pay a Canadian business owner who happens to be the third cousin of your mother a nice sum to give you an offer. Then when you go to Canada you work for someone else.
The market is much better indicator of a person's worth to society than any points based system. In USA you cross the border and make a living for yourself and you are an American. We do not care what Trump, IRS or CBP have to say in this regard. It attracts hustlers and badass people.
There's also visas for international investors - something like invest $1M USD into a business or create 10 jobs and get a visa, or something along those lines. Perhaps more expensive, but not much different fundamentally than paying someone for a job to get a visa.
Not sure how anything you've claimed is terrible. Yes to assess language proficiency people are tested both with a written and verbal exam. How is that terrible? What other means of assessing someone's language proficiency do you have in mind that is better than a written and verbal test?
Also your other points all involve breaking the law, which yes someone can absolutely commit a crime to gain an advantage assuming they don't get caught. I'm not sure how you expect any immigration system to operate other than by having rules and if those rules are broken having penalties for breaking them.
The main criticism I have about the U.S. system of immigration, and why I think Canada does it better is that in the U.S. in the majority of cases your immigration status is often tied to a specific job and if you lose that job you're done. I find that rather disgusting to be honest even if it attracts "hustlers" and "bad asses" as you claim.
This looks like the result of an abuse of the foreign students visa as work visas, partly due to leftover pandemic era policy. In a typical government response, instead of actually fixing the loophole, they use the blunt weapon of cutting visa quotas, and then make generalized comments against foreign labor.
Possibly someone has just got ahold of internal poll figs and are making moves (inter alia the said generalized comments against foreign labor) to appease swing voters
500k -> 1.1M foreign students since end of covid. Truely absurd. I hope this is 5th dimension chess to con Indians on false hope of PR to inject a few years of expensive international tuition to pay for covid response. Doesn't make sense to let them work and possibly send remittances back home (as if cost of living is not high enough) because that's what you get when you start brain draining more than those who can afford to buy citizenship.
I see you're trying to drive a wedge between India and Canada, dirtyid, or Chinese citizen who lives in Canada who loves China and hates western world. It really doesn't matter what you're doing you know, China is a Great Depression and will stay there for 20 years.
Also proving the point that Canada and US should not be importing more Chinese pinkies into the country
I'm a Chinese Canadian citizen living in Canada who advocates for Canadian geopolitical interests before Chinese ones, which I advocate before US ones. That means useful immigration, including Indians who can pay and contribute to economy, not when it gets remitted back to India like MENA model, or eat away at locals QoL. I'm fine with going back to 600k immigration levels, which is still high and having Canadian schools 40% Indian, because frankly PRC talent staying in PRC is good for PRC. For reference, I also advocate Canada cooperating with India on sikh seperatist (and India cooperating with Canada on assassinating Canadian on Canadian soil) to get relations back on track.
“When it gets down to it — talking trade balances here — once we've brain-drained all our technology into other countries, once things have evened out, they're making cars in Bolivia and microwave ovens in Tadzhikistan and selling them here — once our edge in natural resources has been made irrelevant by giant Hong Kong ships and dirigibles that can ship North Dakota all the way to New Zealand for a nickel — once the Invisible Hand has taken away all those historical inequities and smeared them out into a broad global layer of what a Pakistani brickmaker would consider to be prosperity — y'know what? There's only four things we do better than anyone else: music movies microcode (software) high-speed pizza delivery” ― Neal Stephenson, Snow Crash
The root causes of all this is the fact that way back in like the 1990s in order to balance the budget the Fed Liberals under Chretien did big time austerity and cut transfers to the Provinces, and then the Provinces reacted by doing big time austerity and cutting budgets to post secondary education. Then post secondary education reacted to that budget hole by increasing the amount of foreign students they brought in to cover the shortfall.
This continued on and on and at some point folks really started to realize these high foreign student tuitions were an exploitable, profitable business, and we started seeing more and more private for-profit diploma mill style schools bringing in foreign students. The students paid a high price for useless hotel management degrees but in exchange got a boosted chance at permanent residency.
At some point the current government realized that they had a labour shortage and that all these foreign students milling about getting useless degrees were a source of cheap labour. Accordingly they relaxed rules and allowed them to work more hours.
Really poor and gross decision making all around dating back decades.
In 2014 the current PM, when he was in third place in the polls, wrote a scathing op-ed against the related Temporary Foreign Worker program but after being elected did nothing but make everything worse.
Given that the Conservatives were the ones that kick started the abuses of the TFW program. It's hard to believe either Liberals or Conservatives are credible on this file.
Challenge 1. "Soaring rents and house prices"
Challenge 2. Lots of immigrants wanting a decent job and competing with existent population to apply for these.
In a country with as much undeveloped land as Canada has, I think, there might be a win-win solution to be had here? ;)
OK ok, to be fair it takes a little while to train as builders, electricians, plasterers etc etc, but it does seem like Canada has the solution right in front of them. Just build a couple more Torontos, and, problem solved?
That's probably up to Canadians to decide. But there's quite a lot of space. ;). Joking aside, this sort of thing was done in the UK years ago. places like Milton Keynes, Crawley, Stevenage. Its not without its issues. and not a simple endeavour. But really, its laughable to someone living in a crowded country, that one of the most , in parts, sparsely populated countries in the world, isn't apparently looking into this. It'd be a 10-15 yr plan perhaps to implement. But with government commitment, the right tax incentives etc. Look how much China has built out in the last 20 yrs. Edit- cold winters are an issue in parts of Canada but climate change is actually opening up new areas, right?
This is a very silly idea, Canada's population isn't even that large. Why would we build new cities that have no economic basis when we could just scale up our existing cities? Toronto could be a megacity but it isn't currently.
Such a thing has been done in the UK - as for "no economic basis" - Wikipedia says "Milton Keynes is among the most economically productive localities in the UK, ranking highly against a number of criteria. It has the UK's fifth-highest number of business startups per capita" This "very silly idea" been done and proven in the UK, when overcrowding made it necessary, and quite likely other countries - I bet China's done it. Why does any new city start? Historically its often been due to a natural resource that could be traded, transport links or some such, but there's no reason why this couldn't be jump started as has been done in the UK. Especially now with tech and many people WFH. Also from what I heard, Toronto was already considered a hideous sprawl, not necessarily desirable to further extend.
We already have cheap domestic labour, we fly in Mexicans and South Americans and squeeze them in share houses to do cheap and dangerous migrant labour work on a seasonal basis.
But you're suppose to keep that unsightliness away from cities / urban dwellers. People start to question when one bedrooms become unaffordable and basements are housing 8 students / food couriers whose bike just exploded in the subway and now no one can bring ebikes on transit. Cheap labour is suppose to make us feel richer and be invisible.
Except we are also complaining about a housing crisis. Homeless shelters that were already full of the homeless, are now joined with refugees, and apparently international students that also can't find a home to share with 24 other people.
It's simple: I want cheap houses, food, goods and child care built, picked, manufactured and done with expensive domestic labor, and I want home prices to be low but home values to increase without bound forever. I don't understand what's so hard about this. /s
A less easy fix, but one that's better for everyone is that we all
just stop buying mountains and mountains of absolutely useless plastic
and digital crap.
Sure we need lots of human labour to keep the world going round, but
dealing with the obscenity of consumerism is where a better world
begins.
These are the results [0], a kind of misery and 'poverty' (an
'affluenza') caused by unchecked material indulgence.
Surely we can address this culturally on the demand side?
Great read. I'm glad that the author stressed how systemic tech addiction is, and not a moral failure of the individual. It's only slightly ironic that he asked for readers to plug his article on social media, but the word needs getting out.
Contrary opinion: well, we like paying less! We get angry on high prices, swan at deals, and then get mad that businesses want to pay less too!
Something has to give - either the buyers get shafted, or the workers. I don't believe that margins will be the first to get a cut - margins go to the wealthiest of the bunch who're running the show :)
I’m an immigrant. I’ll be the first in line to agree that all the demands (and the specifics of those demands: personal space, hygiene, clothing, noise etc) for assimilation by western societies that I’ve ever heard re: immigrants, are reasonable - assuming such luxuries can be afforded (nobody crams themselves 8 to a room by choice).
But, people aren’t robots whose movements are controlled by an on-off switch. The government introduced the means for people to arrive and work, and so the people arrived. They are continuing to arrive because the policies have not been updated yet. How is it the immigrants’ fault? Why the hate and the attacks on their dignity & humanity?
The nonstop online vitriol hurts me deeply to read - nowhere is “safe” - Reddit, HN, Instagram… the hate spewers seemingly spend all their time spewing on these platforms to manipulate opinions and tap into the fundamental atavistic psychological flaws of the human mind.
If you are a 19 year old Canadian who is priced out of everything and is in a line at the local movie theater 100 long with desperate foreign students trying to get your first job you're going to feel cheated and pissed off.
If you are a 37 yo millennial who still doesn't own a house, can't afford to have kids moving back into the shitty style of apartment you lived in your early 20's but now it costs $2700 a month, you are going to be fucking pissed off.
If you are a new parent waiting 9 hours overnight in an packed emergency room, you are going to feel pissed off.
It is hard to tell Canadians this is good for them when everything has gotten worse.
I think this is because immigration is mostly pushed by people with heavy ideological reasons (far left, no border militants, etc.) but also rich employers who just want cheap and malleable workers.
Now you have the common people to whom you never asked their opinion about mass immigration: they now understand that instead of increasing wages, giving better benefits and improve working conditions to attract potential workers where it is lacking (supply and demand), the rich employers cheated the game with the help of elected politicians, by bringing hundreds of thousands of people who are willing to do it for less.
Add to this difficulties to buy a home, wages stagnation, rent going up, general inflation... The rich get richer, the rest gets poorer. This is how hatred is born unfortunately.
i recently saw a refreshing perspective on canadian immigration that addressed these issues at their origins: failures in housing policy and complacent governance. it's the perspective i wish more canadians held so we could steer the government towards policy that's better for all. maybe nativist nimbyism isn't inevitable.
That video gets cited regarding every discussion about the current Canadian immigration disaster. It pushes two basic ideas-
1) If Canada had housing, services and infrastructure that met any growth in population, there would be no problem!
2) Look at all these problems occurring, isn't it wonderful‽‽‽ It's going to force a revelation and everything will be super fixed and it'll be better than ever! The future is now! Things that don't kill you make you stronger or something.
That covers 100% of the video, and the delusional, pie in the sky notion pushed by the creator. If that video were presented as farce it would actually be funny. Instead it's depressing and sounds like the dope-fueled meanderings of someone absolutely decoupled from any semblance of reality.
Nothing is being fixed. Housing starts have dropped. Housing projects are moving slower than they did before this influx (but wait, isn't the video holding that there has been some amazing, wonderful transformation? Where?). The health system is in shambles. Demographics ghettos grow. A whole generation are going to be living in their parent's basements indefinitely, and anyone looking for a future is moving out of Canada.
Canada is poised for a very unfortunate hard turn to the right due to the policies of the very minister quoted and his peers who pushed the same "no problem here!" dismissals to growing concern. Busy making excuses as problem because disaster became catastrophe.
It is very unfortunate that some of the anger and outrage about government policy is reflected in racist or xenophobic outbursts as described in the root post, but it was basically inevitable: This government basically declared war on a demographic of Canadians and they're "fighting back". I'm lucky to work in a high skill position and live in an affluent area, but I can recognize the absolute disaster that is occurring: When coffee shop chains are buying up apartments and evicting the residents to bring in an army of TFWs, something has gone profoundly awry. When international students don't actually go to classes, get a worthless diploma, and are buying a work permit and a path to residency, something has gone wrong.
Canada needs immigration. Canada was built on immigration. Canada is a multicultural nation. What has been happening is a perversion of that and has put a country on edge.
The problem is the policy driving it is bad. Rather than high-skilled workers, we're letting in low-to-mid-skilled young people. On paper, this plugs the demographic hole. But a lack of planning on infrastructure (housing, etc.) means that prices of those assets has gone through the roof. This has created poor economic incentives to invest in labour intensive industries and housing rather than the innovative, productive part of the economy. What happens when you want to open a software company but can't find workers? Maybe you open a house painting company instead, if the money on offer is high enough.
We shouldn't blame the immigrant -- they are trying to improve their lives. But you definitely can blame poor policy.