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FiveThirtyEight made a big splash in its 2008 election debut. According to Wikipedia, there were numerous media outlets competing for its content in 2010. That likely gave Silver a lot of leverage. The same is probably true in 2014, when FiveThirtyEight moved from the New York Times to ESPN/Disney.

Interestingly, the deal with the NYT was that the entire blog was licensed. For the deal with Disney, it seems like Silver gave up a lot more, and only kept control of the models.



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