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More realistically:

8 years ago "no passwords, use a pass phrase"

Average person reluctantly moves from "P@55word!" to "P@55word! P@55word! P@55word!"

6 years ago "different passwords on each set"

Average person shrugs and changes nothing

2 years ago "use TOTP 2FA"

Average person already using SMS changes nothing, and the sites allow this as a grandfathered exception effectively indefinitely



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