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I think the cases officially recorded by the Chinese start in December but all the scientific projections think it's earlier see eg. https://mobile.twitter.com/ydeigin/status/150023570950819840...


They stopped all flight to Wuhan by 10th of November [1] ( even if the notice said 15 ). That was when they knew it was serious enough. Chatter of unknown "Lung Diseases" was already spreading by end of October on WeChat.

[1] https://www.hongkongpost.hk/en/about_us/whats_new/notices/in...




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