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Seems like there is more room to fall here, given that I would expect fires like this year's to become virtually ubiquitous in the next 15 years.


The fires will follow a sigmoidal curve just like epidemics. Once there are no trees left to burn, the fires will stop. But actually the big fires will stop long before that once the contiguity of fuel decreases below a certain level. This is "herd immunity from fires."

Yes, trees regrow, but global warming is shifting rainfall away from California so trees won't regrow at the same rate as before.




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