Hacker Newsnew | past | comments | ask | show | jobs | submitlogin

> They just gave it to 1,077 people

That's a good start. But for example, how many of them were pregnant, and at what stages? I would guess none. That would be the most famous way to get this wrong.

I hope they are thinking hard about the optimal roll-out strategy, though. It should surely be faster than in normal times. It might well be that you should run very very large not-quite-trials as the first stage of general distribution, and watch their evidence in real-time.



Right, we should just test on nobody instead.

Of course we're gonna test this on the healthiest, least-likely-to-accidentally-die humans, what's the point?

They explicitly did a pregnancy test on everyone who can be pregnant to preclude the possibility, just in case.


But then we have no idea how those vaccines will work in the real world where, when we need N% immunity achievement for herd immunity, a >N% of the population is not considered healthy (and also haven't been proven safe for). There have definitely been cases in which pregnancy is excluded from studies to prove safety with horrible consequences to pregnant people and their children.


It seems entirely logical to me to first test on healthy young people. It's a big step forward from mice! You might learn a lot.

But there are quite a few more steps from there to treating the population.




Guidelines | FAQ | Lists | API | Security | Legal | Apply to YC | Contact

Search: