A line at the top says "Musk tweets Tesla will make ventilators if there’s a shortage". Well, the "if" part does not really seem to be a question.
With US cases at 10^4 today, and a doubling time of 2.5 days (note 1), and with the estimates of available stockpile, it seems well past time to get started on this. I doubt that making a ventilator is as simple as knitting a scarf.
Another way to contribute would be to figure out a way to make masks quickly.
There's lots to do, and help from the innovative and diligent will be greatly appreciated by those who remain.
Viral spread is more complicated than a simple exponential curve. This is even visible when just eyeballing graphs in log space, e.g. here: https://mackuba.eu/corona/#total
The world-wide total numbers are a very unfortunate choice of graph. It overlays the earlier development in China and their static number of cases (no new ones) with exponential growth in the rest of the world (= the beginning of a logistic curve looks like an exponential).
Better look at each of the different countries.
China and South Korea as examples when the problem is managed ; Italy, Germany and Spain as examples when country did not yet.
With US cases at 10^4 today, and a doubling time of 2.5 days (note 1), and with the estimates of available stockpile, it seems well past time to get started on this. I doubt that making a ventilator is as simple as knitting a scarf.
Another way to contribute would be to figure out a way to make masks quickly.
There's lots to do, and help from the innovative and diligent will be greatly appreciated by those who remain.
1. Doubling time inferred from a regression in log space of the last 2 weeks of data provided at https://github.com/CSSEGISandData/COVID-19/tree/master/csse_....