I recently got into EconTalk and burned through a few of their podcasts [0]. Roberts mentions his 'distain' for the minimum wage a fair bit during the shows. Many economists do not like the minimum wage at all for many reasons.
However, with these gig economy jobs, there effectively is no minimum wage. Yes, things are murky here about the definitions of wage, employee, boss, etc. But the effective hourly rates are all well under the minimum wage. So, these companies can uncover the 'real' minimum wage that the market will deal with (again, suuuuuper murky definitions).
It turns out, that number is very low, so low that most people aren't rationally taking those jobs. Factoring in depreciation, I often hear that they loose money to work (not always, but damn close).
I wonder what Roberts has to say on how the minimum wage and the 'wage' that these gig-econ companies pay relate.
It seems to me that having run the experiments now, the theories that the economists that Roberts is like, well, maybe they should update those ideas.
It turns out, that number is very low, so low that most people aren't rationally taking those jobs. Factoring in depreciation, I often hear that they loose money to work (not always, but damn close).
This is simply hard to believe. There are over a million driving for Uber. An overwhelming majority of them must be making money, because the idea that any significant fraction of a million of people is in the red at the end of a year simply is ludictious. Sure, they might be making less than they think after accounting for operating costs, insurance and depreciation, and they might be making less than they would had they got a regular job, but they cannot possibly be actually losing money.
>> It turns out, that number is very low, so low that most people aren't rationally taking those jobs. Factoring in depreciation, I often hear that they loose money to work (not always, but damn close).
> This is simply hard to believe. There are over a million driving for Uber. An overwhelming majority of them must be making money, because the idea that any significant fraction of a million of people is in the red at the end of a year simply is ludictious.
I think the error you're making is the assumption that everyone in the market is a rational actor with good information and understanding, so that evidence of particular market behavior is evidence that it's rational and beneficial to the person doing it.
It's very believable to imagine gig economy jobs where the workers typically lose money doing them, but it takes them a a long time to figure that out, because the pay is obvious but much of the expense is obscured. Fresh, naive marks take over for those workers who get wise and drop out, maintaining the population of workers. The combination of corporate marketing and desperate hope then help maintain a supply of fresh, naive marks.
Million of people are not rational and naive? I doubt that.
Look, the costs with Uber are pretty straightforward: you have car payments, insurance, periodic maintenance and finally gas. People really aren’t too stupid to realize that their Uber income doesn’t cover their car payment.
IRS has a nice estimate of average cost of driving, it’s 58 cents per mile. If you are doing more than that, you are making money, and at Uber you make significantly more than that.
> Many economists do not like the minimum wage at all for many reasons.
Usually it boils down to simply believing that "standard of living" is a silly concept.
It's true, the demand for labor is essentially infinite, but having a minimum wage effectively puts a cap on the number of actual jobs. If people could hire maid services for $1 per hour, there'd be a lot of maid service jobs and nearly everyone would have clean homes.
But the standard of living would hit the floor.
Eliminating minimum wage would eliminate unemployment, for sure. But it would also mean rising homelessness or people cramming 5+ people into 400 sq foot studio apartments as the people at the bottom could no longer afford to pay rents on their own. And let's not pretend that only minimum wage workers would be affected, people near minimum would likely wage cuts as well.
Eliminating minimum wage creates a race to the bottom for low-skill jobs as people become more and more desperate for money.
There's no such thing as "real" minimum wage since the factors that result in having minimum wage must be included (taxes/regulations/cost of living etc). Just as looking at the wages of illegal immigrants doesn't represent the "real" economy, the gig economy, whose companies largely operate under artificial, VC inflated markets, and depend on heterogenous labor markets,can't gage "real" wages.
If you're wondering how low a wage can be and still retain employees, the answer is pretty close to zero. Even baring the no/very low wages that predominated human history, in the 20th century mining companies were able to avoid paying their employees money at all and instead provided tokens serviceable in stores the mining companies owned. The goods in those stores were sold with inflated prices, essential making the cost of labor close to zero.
The case against minimum wage is largely based off of highly isolated factors typically favoring shareholder economics.
Average wage for a day laborer in mid 19th century US was roughly equivalent in purchasing power to what you today get in food stamps. The UBI is already here, you just have to go back to mid 19th century lifestyle.
If you change slightly the economic assumption and go from a completely competitive labor market (where workers get paid the marginal revenue productivity) to a monopsony labor market (there is only one employer), then the minimum wage can increase employment and wages. https://open.lib.umn.edu/principleseconomics/chapter/14-2-mo...
A monopsony labor market is highly unlikely to happen, but something similar can be said of a highly competitive labor market.
However, with these gig economy jobs, there effectively is no minimum wage. Yes, things are murky here about the definitions of wage, employee, boss, etc. But the effective hourly rates are all well under the minimum wage. So, these companies can uncover the 'real' minimum wage that the market will deal with (again, suuuuuper murky definitions).
It turns out, that number is very low, so low that most people aren't rationally taking those jobs. Factoring in depreciation, I often hear that they loose money to work (not always, but damn close).
I wonder what Roberts has to say on how the minimum wage and the 'wage' that these gig-econ companies pay relate.
It seems to me that having run the experiments now, the theories that the economists that Roberts is like, well, maybe they should update those ideas.
[0] Excellent deep dives with interviewees, highly recommended: https://www.econtalk.org/