That wasn't what I was referring to. The winning there isn't winning the argument, which is really a trivial position to avoid. I first achieved it when I was a teenager and consistently achieved it in my early 20s. I have no reason to believe this is exceptional for anyone with a mild interest in epistemology (Crocker's Rules, etc. are examples of these being rapidly realized by individuals)
The thing I was referring to is winning at life. You can be less wrong (in the sense described above) and lose at life.
I.e. the more refined view of the world does not monotonically move you towards most conventional victories (improved prosperity, happiness, life standards).
Sibling comment has a link to more (and reinforces the triviality of achieving the more-information-mindset), besides SSC and Scott Aaronson https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21298154
The thing I was referring to is winning at life. You can be less wrong (in the sense described above) and lose at life.
I.e. the more refined view of the world does not monotonically move you towards most conventional victories (improved prosperity, happiness, life standards).
Sibling comment has a link to more (and reinforces the triviality of achieving the more-information-mindset), besides SSC and Scott Aaronson https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21298154