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> If there's a 50% chance, do I prepare? What about 20%? 10%? 5%? 1%? 0.1%?

Prepared/unprepared isn't a binary state either and your level of preparation can match the certainty. At 10% check your supplies of water, candles, gas, canned food. At 20% decide if you'll evacuate. At 50% tape/board up the windows.



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