Can we just stop for a moment and look at what people are actually trading here? A decentralised protocol upheld by a cryptographic function. This can't be compared with any stocks or commodity. Maybe the crash will be the same but it is still different.
stocks and commodity holdings are just protocols too though - not technical ones but legal/contractual ones. It's still pretty crazy though given bitcoin doesn't even have a major (legal) use to anchor it.
The Crypto Kitty bubble already popped. I lost a paycheck, which sucks right before Christmas.
Ultimately I am probably lucky that I learned my lesson with "Captain Furball Cheezburger" instead of losing my mortgage when Bitcoin pops.
According to the CIA there is 80 Trillion dollars in the world in soft money. With 21 million Bitcoins, if 1% of all the worlds money was transferred to Bitcoin, each Bitcoin would be worth $38,000.
We are basically half way there. I wouldn't be surprised if it gets that high, but we I don't understand how people think it could keep going past that even theoretically. If someone understands the reasoning behind the $500,000 predictions, I would love to have that explained.
Theoretically: Let's just agree with all bitcoin holders for a few moment to not to sell bitcoins to anyone but me. Then, I buy one satoshi (0.00000001 BTC) for one dollar. Just like that, the bitcoin market price is now 100 million dollars. With exactly one dollar "transferred" to bitcoin.
I see that number all the time as well, but i'm confused.
There is less than 2 Trillion in Gold in the entire world. If you divide 2 Trillion / 21 Million (total number of possible bitcoins), you would get BTC of $100,000 equals the market cap of Gold. Not $500,000.
By my math BTC of $500,000 would be 5x the market cap of gold. Would someone explain how my math is wrong?